Lockdown Seven Days Earlier Could Have Spared Twenty-Three Thousand Lives, Covid Inquiry Concludes
A harsh government report into Britain's management to the coronavirus crisis determined that the reaction was "insufficient and delayed," declaring that enacting restrictions just seven days sooner would have spared more than 20,000 deaths.
Main Conclusions of the Inquiry
Outlined through over seven hundred and fifty pages across two parts, the conclusions depict an unmistakable story showing hesitation, inaction and an apparent inability to absorb from mistakes.
The account about the onset of the pandemic in early 2020 has been described as notably harsh, labeling the month of February as being "a lost month."
Ministerial Failures Emphasized
- It questions the reasons why the then prime minister neglected to convene a single session of the Cobra crisis committee during February.
- The response to the virus effectively halted over the mid-term vacation.
- In the second week of that March, the situation had become "nearly calamitous," due to a lack of preparation, insufficient testing and thus little understanding regarding the extent to which Covid had spread.
Potential Impact
Even though recognizing that the choice to enforce confinement had been unprecedented and hugely difficult, implementing other action to slow the transmission of the virus earlier could have meant that one could have been prevented, or at least been of shorter duration.
Once a lockdown was inevitable, the inquiry authors stated, had it been imposed on March 16, estimates suggested this would have reduced the number of fatalities in England in the first wave of the virus by nearly 50%, equating to twenty-three thousand lives saved.
The omission to understand the magnitude of the threat, or the need of response it demanded, led to that by the time the option of enforced restrictions was initially contemplated it was already belated and such measures were inevitable.
Repeated Mistakes
The report also highlighted how several of the same failures – responding with delay as well as underestimating the pace and consequences of the pandemic's progression – occurred again later in 2020, when restrictions were lifted only to be belatedly reintroduced due to contagious variants.
The report describes this "unacceptable," noting that the government did not to learn lessons over successive phases.
Total Impact
The United Kingdom suffered one of the most severe pandemic epidemics in Europe, with around 240,000 Covid-related deaths.
This investigation represents the second from the ongoing investigation regarding every element of the management and handling of the pandemic, which was launched in previous years and is due to proceed through 2027.